Cognition Explains Methodology Behind Its $10 Million AI Productivity Guarantee

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Cognition published a walkthrough by Ryan Bai detailing the methodology behind its $10 million AI Productivity Guarantee. An estimator agent reviews completed Devin sessions to calculate equivalent human engineering hours, which are then converted to dollar value. Validated against estimates from 126 engineers, this system determines if Cognition issues usage credits when Devin’s output falls short of spend.

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Last week we introduced the AI Productivity Guarantee: a $10,000,000 bet that Devin delivers engineering value. Today, @ryanbai1412 walks you through how we calculate, benchmark, and guarantee it:

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